NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4fac86e36c3dc7d229243bc4b1d1eb4e38d541f862d5e2eb7682fb7439e4287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 45c | 2,179$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.55 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 1,640$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 4c | 1,186$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 40c | 799.93$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 799.07$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 62c | 768.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Under | 58c | 650.76$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Over | 46c | 556.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 543.68$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 10c | 501.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 481.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 60c | 441.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Under | 52c | 412.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 40c | 410.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 303.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Over | 13c | 199$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 191.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 56c | 187.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 38c | 179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 52c | 176.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…0b58backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 89.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 61c | 45.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Over | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Under | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Under | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Under | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…cdacbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…c096backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.