TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c107,370$48,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,316.5354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under55c75,000$41,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,75051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Under52c17,376$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,378.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c11,530$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,287.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over40c3,390$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.8420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c2,289$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.7258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c2,202$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.821,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c2,196$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.042,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c2,100$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.0415147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c1,932$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over50c1,496$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.1612147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over10c1,374$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over28c1,363$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0319434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over7c1,357$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.772,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over47c1,137$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.877851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,081$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over51c984.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c827.14$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c826.18$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under56c803.49$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Under50c778.35$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.646541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c756.63$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under54c686.41$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c616.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under51c510.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.110446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over49c497$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c468.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Under56c372.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.855042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Over36c279.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5516837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over35c252$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.922,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over25c250.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under59c243.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under51c209.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.868232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c201.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.851,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over10c173.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c9…b0d3backed Under54c160.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6430146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c131.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.093,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under54c119.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under60c107$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Over44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.448752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Over46c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.497643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c99.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.84658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Under53c94.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.623243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.926541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under54c87.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.335747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.854854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c77.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea0…873fbacked Under55c73.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.011735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.187038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.287448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over43c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.519560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Over42c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.686454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Under53c46.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.953240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Under54c41.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.063447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over44c39.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2543244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c37.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0674…2034backed Under56c35.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Over44c35.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over44c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Over41c31.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c30.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Over44c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.322360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under58c26.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Under56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under60c23.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3611849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Over47c21.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.223534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Under56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Under56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84060%24 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Under56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Under56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.923548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under74c15.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.931,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.