NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde94e138bab564831da79682b5b6e9319ff2234d285bb2e2cefd5fc836fad641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 107,370$48,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,316.53 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 55c | 75,000$41,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Under | 52c | 17,376$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 11,530$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 40c | 3,390$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.84 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 2,289$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.72 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 2,202$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.82 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 2,196$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.04 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 1,932$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.16 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 10c | 1,374$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 28c | 1,363$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.03 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 7c | 1,357$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Over | 47c | 1,137$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 1,081$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 51c | 984.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 827.14$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 826.18$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 56c | 803.49$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Under | 50c | 778.35$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.64 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 756.63$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 54c | 686.41$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 616.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 51c | 510.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 497$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 56c | 372.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 36c | 279.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 35c | 252$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 25c | 250.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 51c | 209.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 201.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 10c | 173.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…b0d3backed Under | 54c | 160.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 131.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 54c | 119.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Over | 46c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 99.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Under | 53c | 94.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 54c | 87.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 77.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…873fbacked Under | 55c | 73.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Under | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked Under | 54c | 41.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 44c | 39.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 37.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Under | 56c | 35.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Over | 44c | 35.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Over | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 30.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 60c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Over | 47c | 21.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.