NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9146f20ec268ceba5dba5f37910c3eeb24da7442e4a666dab0abdd1a924eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 55c | 115,243$63,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,438.81 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 89,490$43,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,850.29 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 38,241$17,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,290.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 52c | 26,483$13,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,712.2 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 12,203$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 9,655$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 8,800$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…32e7backed Over | 44c | 7,184$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 48c | 7,076$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.51 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 6,911$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 44c | 5,144$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.48 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 5,034$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 4,666$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 3,452$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 3,429$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.14 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,423$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 45c | 1,818$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.1 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 849.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 505.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 47c | 438.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…b61fbacked Over | 47c | 303.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 245.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 45c | 222.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 215.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…cf86backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 50c | 190.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 186.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 47c | 179.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Over | 9c | 179.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 150.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 50c | 118.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 45c | 115.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 102.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 46c | 81.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 70.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 46c | 62.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 48c | 61.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 50c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…12c5backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 50.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 47.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 44c | 40.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 46c | 39.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…8ad8backed Over | 44c | 39.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 33.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 52c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 45c | 29.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…1f06backed Under | 54c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 48c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…1dfabacked Under | 57c | 18.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.