TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, BYU Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$861,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$882,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $861,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Arizona Wildcats52c384,970$199,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,36289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed BYU Cougars1c159,021$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.6869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked BYU Cougars48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00030249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars48c71,247$34,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,031.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed BYU Cougars48c60,830$29,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,205.183158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars46c48,007$22,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,229.245,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed BYU Cougars49c30,267$14,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,830.684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed BYU Cougars41c21,033$8,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,622.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BYU Cougars48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed BYU Cougars48c16,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6802454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked BYU Cougars43c14,997$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,498.9112364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Arizona Wildcats52c13,534$7,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,428.6412147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Arizona Wildcats79c11,879$9,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.58639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed BYU Cougars48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BYU Cougars50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BYU Cougars14c9,477$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.282,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Arizona Wildcats54c9,419$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.4535151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Wildcats56c8,679$4,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.031,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed BYU Cougars47c7,924$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.1774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed BYU Cougars46c6,761$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.041,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Arizona Wildcats53c6,604$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.774161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed BYU Cougars6c6,546$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7931646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Arizona Wildcats55c6,369$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.842864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed BYU Cougars49c5,714$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.9722349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Arizona Wildcats52c5,468$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.4289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Arizona Wildcats53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BYU Cougars5c4,769$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.095536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed BYU Cougars49c4,518$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2279652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars28c4,022$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed BYU Cougars48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BYU Cougars27c3,670$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.446162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Arizona Wildcats54c3,535$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.241,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed BYU Cougars49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BYU Cougars28c3,055$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.051,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed BYU Cougars50c3,002$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked BYU Cougars48c2,993$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.7253057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed BYU Cougars42c2,615$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked BYU Cougars10c2,486$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.061,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked BYU Cougars49c2,423$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.3327947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Arizona Wildcats68c2,331$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.8425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Arizona Wildcats58c2,239$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.576043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Arizona Wildcats52c2,179$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed BYU Cougars49c2,178$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2241554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Arizona Wildcats52c2,176$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.317047.1%33 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked BYU Cougars50c2,120$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.131,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked BYU Cougars49c2,019$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed BYU Cougars48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed BYU Cougars48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed BYU Cougars50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed BYU Cougars48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked BYU Cougars48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed BYU Cougars48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Arizona Wildcats56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9912646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked BYU Cougars49c2,000$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.9811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed BYU Cougars50c1,991$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars33c1,990$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed BYU Cougars47c1,912$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7313735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed BYU Cougars10c1,766$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed BYU Cougars51c1,699$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.6411850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked BYU Cougars1c1,558$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked BYU Cougars1c1,545$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BYU Cougars45c1,539$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked BYU Cougars47c1,432$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.3416053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed BYU Cougars47c1,247$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.118846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc923…a27fbacked Arizona Wildcats58c1,247$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Arizona Wildcats78c1,238$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed BYU Cougars20c1,230$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.071,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Arizona Wildcats73c1,215$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked BYU Cougars49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5887145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Arizona Wildcats66c1,158$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.627656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed BYU Cougars47c1,121$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed BYU Cougars44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed BYU Cougars43c1,047$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…a733backed BYU Cougars43c1,040$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed BYU Cougars47c1,020$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.43357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Arizona Wildcats53c1,002$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1536535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed BYU Cougars6c1,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed BYU Cougars48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb436…bb3cbacked BYU Cougars50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb2…662abacked Arizona Wildcats49c1,000$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked BYU Cougars1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed BYU Cougars45c999$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5511354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars23c983.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked BYU Cougars43c899.99$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38714151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Arizona Wildcats51c887.54$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x315b…2f66backed BYU Cougars47c872.34$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02e…8fb2backed Arizona Wildcats52c859$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona Wildcats76c858$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.641,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed BYU Cougars48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arizona Wildcats65c818$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed BYU Cougars4c800$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed BYU Cougars4c800$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Arizona Wildcats63c791.42$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked BYU Cougars39c750$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU Cougars8c746.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.361,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed BYU Cougars47c730$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6052…c0c3backed Arizona Wildcats52c703.67$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.762556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked BYU Cougars37c691.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked BYU Cougars48c636.27$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07fb…f0d5backed BYU Cougars32c631.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+137.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.