NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa194254c06c8ec897cf03f61a049895be08ae56973b0886fb118f2baedb90c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Wizards, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards | 8c | 69,981$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.45 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 8c | 35,780$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.36 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 4c | 23,051$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.58 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 0c | 21,382$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 6c | 21,317$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 17,479$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 8c | 15,958$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.64 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…127cbacked Wizards | 3c | 15,857$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 8c | 15,210$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.9 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…8ca6backed Wizards | 9c | 14,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 8c | 13,757$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 9c | 12,540$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Wizards | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Wizards | 8c | 8,888$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.03 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wizards | 9c | 8,821$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.89 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 5c | 7,433$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 7,122$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 6c | 6,525$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 9c | 5,964$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.23 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 9c | 5,907$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.43 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Wizards | 10c | 4,971$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 4,638$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 8c | 4,472$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 5c | 4,423$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…750cbacked Wizards | 10c | 4,300$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 8c | 4,226$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Wizards | 2c | 4,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards | 8c | 4,169$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 0c | 3,930$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 8c | 3,800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 6c | 3,151$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.07 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Wizards | 8c | 3,122$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…995cbacked Wizards | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 8c | 2,710$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Wizards | 14c | 2,658$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 3c | 2,516$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Wizards | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards | 4c | 2,432$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…2482backed Wizards | 9c | 2,232$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 5c | 2,160$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 10c | 2,033$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Wizards | 7c | 2,003$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Wizards | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 8c | 2,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 1,955$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 10c | 1,335$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 9c | 1,302$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Wizards | 6c | 1,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Wizards | 9c | 1,150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Wizards | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4942…39cbbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…c184backed Wizards | 10c | 1,003$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…cff9backed Wizards | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…ad7cbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Wizards | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35c…b1c6backed Wizards | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…b7f3backed Wizards | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Wizards | 3c | 770$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Wizards | 8c | 700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Wizards | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…2a0cbacked Wizards | 4c | 695.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cc…c3bcbacked Wizards | 9c | 580$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…82b7backed Wizards | 4c | 577.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Wizards | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…d043backed Wizards | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 5c | 452.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Wizards | 9c | 452.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…6aa9backed Wizards | 9c | 431.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 9c | 425.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Wizards | 5c | 409.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…5230backed Wizards | 8c | 399.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wizards | 9c | 380.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Wizards | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…ce61backed Wizards | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…7a18backed Wizards | 6c | 328.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards | 9c | 315$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…9311backed Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Wizards | 9c | 294.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Wizards | 7c | 291.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Wizards | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Wizards | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 47.2%119 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wizards | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.