TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x899c…9311

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT12445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.91
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$33.7
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$50.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$67.19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$159.9
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+426.3%+$323.98
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$464.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+300%+$610.49
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7424.3%18 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$80
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$182
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.39
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.39
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$149.59
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$435.71
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.77
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.62
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$204.13
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 2backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.