NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2b985ebecac4125905f595e4d30f23212cf6de3b273a987162e0ea3f442609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 62,481$34,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,840.3 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 44c | 37,744$16,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,133.49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 34,849$14,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,901.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 26,786$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 24,428$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.33 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 22,305$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,567.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs | 44c | 22,000$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,320 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Spurs | 46c | 19,631$9,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.47 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 57c | 17,637$10,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 48c | 15,194$7,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,886.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 44c | 13,335$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.7 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 45c | 11,482$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.16 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 56c | 11,117$6,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 45c | 7,383$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.43 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Spurs | 69c | 6,047$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 76c | 5,925$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.71 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs | 46c | 5,159$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.76 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs | 45c | 4,703$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.81 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 4,347$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 55c | 3,240$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.02 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 3,236$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.63 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 2,977$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 2,498$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 2,346$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.61 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.31 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,004$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,660$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,653$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.36 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,540$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.98 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spurs | 71c | 1,470$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.46 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.14 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,388$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Spurs | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,300$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,099$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spurs | 56c | 1,032$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,003$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.59 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 846.21$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.49 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Spurs | 50c | 795.75$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.87 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 713.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 55c | 710.43$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Spurs | 58c | 682.16$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Spurs | 45c | 671$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 635.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.26 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 55c | 571$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Spurs | 78c | 551.92$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 546.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 543.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 528.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 501.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Spurs | 48c | 480.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Spurs | 59c | 466.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 438.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Spurs | 63c | 434$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Spurs | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 427.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 410.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Spurs | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 55c | 393$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 57c | 384.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 362.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 64c | 359.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 55c | 344.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 71c | 323.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 55c | 306.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Spurs | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Spurs | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3259…6e3fbacked Spurs | 48c | 266.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 257.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 243.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 50c | 242.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 50c | 218.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs | 65c | 212.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Spurs | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Spurs | 47c | 207.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Spurs | 61c | 204.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.