NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13880062c45c6048277046023ebb8b125c71d5ed06edfc572d3bc7ba78fbd7c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 12,994$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.74 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 5,825$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Over | 1c | 3,041$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 45c | 2,218$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 52c | 1,954$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.42 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.27 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,475$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,466$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 54c | 1,329$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 55c | 1,281$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.37 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 7c | 1,146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,056$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Under | 55c | 1,008$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…513dbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Under | 51c | 970.23$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.41 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 48c | 840.31$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.35 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 10c | 789.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 48c | 551.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Under | 53c | 313.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 48c | 285.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Over | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 21c | 265$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 255.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 43c | 251.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b27…c539backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 185.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 61c | 164.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 162.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 49c | 146.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 137.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed Under | 53c | 113.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Under | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Over | 41c | 77.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 21c | 70.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…e8ccbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 49c | 55.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…5652backed Over | 49c | 52.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 53c | 52.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under | 37c | 50.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…e641backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 75c | 37.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…82d1backed Over | 45c | 35.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 49c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Under | 46c | 33.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 43c | 32.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…5085backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 43c | 28.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 67c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…cbccbacked Under | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.