TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Trail Blazers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,792,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,844,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,792,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Trail Blazers17c333,299$56,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,660.8511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers7c217,172$14,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,849.4966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Trail Blazers18c172,490$30,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,323.339745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers17c147,059$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Trail Blazers0c120,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Trail Blazers1c66,423$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Trail Blazers17c61,538$10,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,461.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Trail Blazers17c51,194$8,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,595.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Trail Blazers9c49,006$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.4842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers13c45,000$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,695.0549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Trail Blazers16c44,545$7,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,127.193839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Trail Blazers12c37,417$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4002642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa517…b169backed Trail Blazers3c26,900$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Trail Blazers1c25,707$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.415213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers16c23,208$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.351,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7998…0db9backed Trail Blazers0c22,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers17c19,236$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.0556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Trail Blazers2c17,397$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.123179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Trail Blazers5c15,638$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Trail Blazers17c15,012$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.6435251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Trail Blazers0c15,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers0c12,307$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.455502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Trail Blazers12c11,408$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.92729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers10c11,150$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1159018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Trail Blazers4c10,798$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Trail Blazers1c10,353$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Trail Blazers4c10,000$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2342640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…bef7backed Trail Blazers1c9,623$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014626.7%39 W · 107 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Trail Blazers10c8,830$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.981417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers15c8,759$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.691,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…7e90backed Trail Blazers1c8,570$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.451127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers16c8,564$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.5582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Trail Blazers15c8,303$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.5820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers1c8,283$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.388783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb273…aa63backed Trail Blazers12c7,761$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Trail Blazers18c7,432$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.391931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers16c7,137$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.141,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Trail Blazers1c6,974$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Trail Blazers15c5,785$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.743855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Trail Blazers6c5,440$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.943729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Trail Blazers0c5,211$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.337211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Trail Blazers17c5,147$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8753943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7802…e646backed Trail Blazers17c5,070$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Trail Blazers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cf…f964backed Trail Blazers18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers1c4,900$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Trail Blazers16c4,868$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.8125947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3c…8039backed Trail Blazers17c4,850$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Trail Blazers16c4,748$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.6812529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers8c4,648$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab7…afc0backed Trail Blazers16c4,600$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Trail Blazers10c4,500$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43017326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Trail Blazers16c4,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Trail Blazers16c4,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Trail Blazers16c4,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers0c4,131$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Trail Blazers16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Trail Blazers5c3,969$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Trail Blazers1c3,795$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Trail Blazers1c3,789$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0416919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Trail Blazers15c3,508$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2313148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203c…2082backed Trail Blazers3c3,353$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.831323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Trail Blazers18c3,314$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.437532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…8a14backed Trail Blazers15c3,269$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f4…d132backed Trail Blazers2c3,205$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Trail Blazers3c3,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.513245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425f…5493backed Trail Blazers17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers13c2,815$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f4…88a5backed Trail Blazers16c2,800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Trail Blazers18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Trail Blazers18c2,773$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.158848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Trail Blazers15c2,750$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0435129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…3b17backed Trail Blazers12c2,660$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.044729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Trail Blazers11c2,591$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c34…c469backed Trail Blazers1c2,523$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Trail Blazers2c2,474$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…f694backed Trail Blazers10c2,460$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Trail Blazers5c2,241$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.979851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Trail Blazers1c2,227$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Trail Blazers11c2,223$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c8…ff84backed Trail Blazers2c2,133$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc097…3728backed Trail Blazers1c2,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414f…21afbacked Trail Blazers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Trail Blazers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Trail Blazers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9357…4c9bbacked Trail Blazers13c1,966$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Trail Blazers6c1,962$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Trail Blazers1c1,919$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114746.8%22 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+3.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Trail Blazers5c1,900$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…077cbacked Trail Blazers3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Trail Blazers1c1,845$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers7c1,826$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.143,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Trail Blazers16c1,781$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8830242.1%127 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Trail Blazers16c1,780$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7739958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb6…c177backed Trail Blazers2c1,740$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd21…8cdabacked Trail Blazers2c1,589$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers2c1,569$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x020d…37c3backed Trail Blazers17c1,559$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.