TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c15,249$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,942.451,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over55c6,021$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.3438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c5,978$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,008$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.771,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under42c4,098$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c3,695$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over57c3,575$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.821,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c3,156$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c2,694$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.0965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over21c2,570$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Over0c2,525$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over52c2,490$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.0371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd10…3542backed Over27c2,061$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c1,879$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.011,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over60c1,675$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c1,391$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c1,346$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.332,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under41c1,231$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.2949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Over52c1,066$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over43c1,063$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.2725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over3c1,060$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.165036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…b169backed Over33c1,009$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over63c1,008$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63216842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under41c1,000$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under52c962.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.317150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over61c950$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57518844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under39c906.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c765.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under60c683.34$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.348752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under61c660.91$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.913256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over39c590.1$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.781,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0114731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over80c564.62$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over56c538.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over59c505.64$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under48c499.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.993844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5c…8b88backed Over63c445.35$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c405.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over46c393.23$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under36c372$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.412,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under44c371.27$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over70c355$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.865736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under40c351$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over60c348.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under62c300$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under61c299$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c298.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.591,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over15c292.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3231345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under45c270.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc003…b53abacked Over59c264.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over63c260.55$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.931942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f7…61cbbacked Over48c247.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…1d29backed Under62c246.07$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.192937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under42c237.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over52c224.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5416146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under45c201.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.389653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over62c199.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c185.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Over56c179.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over60c163.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5726755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over37c159.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over63c159.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Over52c153.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over66c150.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf6…4a06backed Over7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c144.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under58c139.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under74c135.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.867857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over22c135.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under40c132.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1628842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under40c120.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0857550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over50c116.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under72c112.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9836154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over63c111.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703844.7%17 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over59c110.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6529046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed Over46c108.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Under46c108.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ca…df8abacked Over14c108$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over37c107.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.625637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under40c102.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3525958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.66645.5%30 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over52c95.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Over52c95.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0513…fd81backed Over57c95.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.565850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Over24c93.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.473135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c92.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.481,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Under54c92.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.894856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over45c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.542740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over56c88.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.