NFL · resolved market
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52d26b0b44b3ca0e753c6cda303aebc1927d355fea708974e663030595395b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evenof Odd, Even
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Odd | 51c | 63,725$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Even | 49c | 63,193$30,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,228.61 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Even | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Odd | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…2b9abacked Odd | 54c | 2,266$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Odd | 53c | 1,355$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Even | 49c | 814.78$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…70f6backed Even | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Odd | 48c | 499.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Even | 50c | 369.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed Even | 47c | 351$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Odd | 53c | 239.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…6b07backed Even | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Even | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Odd | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Even | 47c | 208.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…bcf8backed Odd | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Odd | 22c | 174.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Odd | 49c | 119.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…2022backed Even | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…770ebacked Even | 46c | 100.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…63f5backed Odd | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Even | 46c | 79.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Odd | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…a226backed Odd | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Even | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…bbf1backed Odd | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Odd | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Odd | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…fa3dbacked Even | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…580cbacked Even | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed Even | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…ff56backed Odd | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Odd | 53c | 40.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Even | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Odd | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…eedabacked Odd | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…f849backed Even | 48c | 25.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Even | 45c | 24.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Odd | 49c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…c4a3backed Odd | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Even | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.