TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Ethereum all time high by October 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,160,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,102,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,160,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0ee…f4aebacked Yes0c1,753,556$6,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,837.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1588…c68abacked Yes0c387,244$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf149…21b9backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x244a…a6c5backed Yes2c179,424$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes1c93,105$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.695837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e8…6c1ebacked Yes1c55,998$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa262…ac93backed Yes4c55,252$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26de…2db3backed Yes2c47,698$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf817…2731backed Yes0c45,338$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5c…bd4dbacked Yes2c43,758$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…8967backed Yes19c42,447$8,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,216.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c42,351$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.451490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…4768backed Yes0c40,800$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes4c36,480$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc931…a998backed Yes3c30,141$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…86f3backed Yes2c29,874$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.81333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes2c27,235$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.899022.2%20 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes0c25,977$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…b99cbacked Yes2c24,210$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-81.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57de…cd90backed Yes0c22,333$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81b…93e3backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd2…a8c9backed Yes2c15,585$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d93…5aacbacked Yes0c15,478$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0f…cfcdbacked Yes4c15,451$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b01…b089backed Yes10c13,500$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec0…37c1backed Yes1c12,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60220%0 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8329…5488backed Yes2c11,997$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe310…008bbacked Yes2c11,884$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c11,165$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.231,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes5c10,718$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.21520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe527…3898backed Yes3c10,021$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c3…07c4backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ac…18a3backed Yes3c9,530$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed Yes3c9,361$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25a7…65d2backed Yes3c9,172$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a8…bbd0backed Yes2c9,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed Yes0c7,981$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes6c7,643$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-57.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3e1…4040backed Yes0c7,045$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes4c6,940$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.434216.7%7 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fd…7765backed Yes2c6,769$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3938…9c16backed Yes62c6,481$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0784…f208backed Yes1c6,432$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6581…0206backed Yes3c6,316$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6730…deb9backed Yes1c6,281$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes2c5,603$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.545514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4e…7c56backed Yes3c5,502$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf24…2017backed Yes0c5,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa732…506ebacked Yes2c5,200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c4…f5d2backed Yes2c5,171$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Yes3c5,157$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked Yes3c5,142$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae2…7119backed Yes4c5,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f8…649fbacked Yes3c4,416$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4f…1baebacked Yes3c4,233$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…d62ebacked Yes2c4,100$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a84…4612backed Yes6c4,059$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes2c4,045$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b37…b143backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4273…19d8backed Yes0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e1…40aebacked Yes2c3,916$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa379…ec12backed Yes2c3,350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115e…c3d1backed Yes3c3,325$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-62%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…3b06backed Yes0c3,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9220…8585backed Yes1c3,122$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77dc…7897backed Yes32c3,118$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00090%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3e5…091dbacked Yes5c3,063$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.985869%40 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No1c2,867$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.166417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9431…e055backed Yes4c2,709$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6b…1814backed Yes5c2,515$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854e…10b7backed Yes4c2,414$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.19812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+120.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4242…f42ebacked Yes14c2,300$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff3…f750backed Yes5c2,233$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…f219backed Yes1c2,212$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…e24cbacked Yes2c2,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfb…3af0backed Yes2c2,100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf806…a8b6backed Yes56c2,084$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…fd9dbacked Yes2c2,050$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d4…746fbacked Yes1c2,031$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed Yes3c2,002$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32eabacked Yes2c2,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes3c2,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…3e0ebacked Yes2c2,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes3c1,999$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249b…42e4backed Yes2c1,900$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…aa72backed Yes1c1,878$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…1aaabacked Yes3c1,837$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c0…bb12backed Yes1c1,826$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2102…eb23backed Yes2c1,720$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3579…54cdbacked Yes4c1,620$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes20c1,607$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1719439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f3…483fbacked Yes5c1,572$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e0…b495backed Yes1c1,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2b…96debacked Yes10c1,499$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…e8f7backed Yes3c1,431$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945d…b7b2backed Yes8c1,391$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e12…6639backed Yes28c1,298$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.