TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbed3…2811backed Under73c41,643$30,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,391.836100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over11c24,406$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.672128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c18,581$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.871,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over28c9,027$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.9363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under71c6,011$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.814759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over32c4,590$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.166728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0155944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c3,392$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.0591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over26c3,321$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.5826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under69c2,900$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under71c2,767$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.533748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over26c1,750$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1013…55fabacked Under75c1,414$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over30c1,312$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Over30c1,227$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.062626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over26c1,188$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.423637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over28c1,150$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over28c1,135$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over31c1,067$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.72911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under70c1,050$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.56060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under71c1,038$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.011586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over26c1,031$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.051942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Under71c944.21$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over30c942.42$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.735957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over28c919.53$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.327058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over27c885$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2710852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under78c848.46$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over26c778.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.492152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c768.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.541,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f59…a2cbbacked Under71c736.95$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+171.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over31c723.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.441225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over18c712.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.355123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under69c700.61$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over29c698.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.628720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over15c656.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under71c622.5$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over29c600.25$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.074628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over29c574.81$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.713349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over28c540.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.424252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under69c534.37$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.662272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over30c502$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.68243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under69c483.87$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c460.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1175366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under70c444$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.218950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1710…b2cfbacked Under75c418.44$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.083100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.443252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under71c387.73$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.442969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over9c381.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under76c375.12$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.335263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over24c372.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.952025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over15c333.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.132065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over29c332.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.356547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over26c328$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over30c320.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.043540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over31c311.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.843663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under78c307.3$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.074568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over10c300.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.043565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8122647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over30c285.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.711233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over26c284.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9240350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under71c283.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.351553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.175246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.174165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over10c279.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.912650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over10c277.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.734465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under75c263.22$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under72c261.01$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over30c255.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.642846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.550247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under71c245.65$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over27c245.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2910648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Over21c239.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.654250%21 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over17c230.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.075036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under80c193.9$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7810249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over29c182.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9817045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed Over14c169.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.936643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef0…402bbacked Over29c152.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.682245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over10c146.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.628853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over10c146.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.626352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over10c146.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.623574.3%26 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Over10c146.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over10c146.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.624050%20 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.