TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c27,617$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.271,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Under12c15,248$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under14c13,118$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.725433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over76c6,665$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c4,901$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.451,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under11c1,976$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under14c1,757$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.693762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under10c1,686$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.592040%8 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Under35c1,643$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.711346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under37c1,455$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49f…b0f0backed Under12c1,416$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.98333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under11c1,386$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4488137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over78c1,265$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.338556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under19c1,187$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.385362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over74c984.4$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9445042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under32c959.2$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.942853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Under26c955.6$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under24c950.75$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1837753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under12c947.2$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.662969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under12c930.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9599435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under14c774.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8810648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4f…628ebacked Under11c749.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under13c741.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.778644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…5ce3backed Under13c729.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under16c653.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.153663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under21c651.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.624340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under12c633.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.065957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under25c615.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.238259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Under15c574.88$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.411553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under14c558.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0310852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under14c558.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.035263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under14c558.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.038853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under14c558.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.036352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Under24c508.02$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.921136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151e…c6dbbacked Over78c506.29$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under12c485.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.25550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under12c483.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.618243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under12c452.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.337652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under26c398.78$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.687758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under12c394.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.364463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over75c388.8$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.175036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over77c365.04$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5741238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under16c358.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.194850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under13c355.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2115753.5%84 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under29c340.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under13c328.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.375525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Under32c299.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.924245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under14c297.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.492846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Under38c291.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.721936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over67c278.97$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.713560%21 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe96b…f054backed Over73c269.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Under12c268.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under28c268$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.222755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under24c255.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.826744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under12c236.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under25c222.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.866643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…ade9backed Under10c206.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684250%21 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.682850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Over77c195$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over77c193$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over78c189.33$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.639953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Under14c169.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.714235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Under14c169.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.943336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.942250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-85.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under16c152.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under11c139.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3317045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Over75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.462142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under14c125.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under16c114.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6811650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Over76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under15c99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.124245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.719144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under11c96.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6231047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under11c90.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Under13c90.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c89.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87fd…c846backed Under16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755f…0d27backed Under16c87.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under18c82.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d0…bd0fbacked Under19c78.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Under19c78.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under18c78.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over76c77.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under34c74.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.547943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under23c73.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.833565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under23c73.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.834050%20 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over70c71.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.627660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over79c70.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.627450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over70c68.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.424757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over66c64.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.