Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadbb107ad10e376df5e110554bf62893bf7a40899458cc1f51cc1832b7a390c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof FC Barcelona, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FC Barcelona | 23c | 799.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 776.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Barcelona | 20c | 742.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…253dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 696.01$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 591.49$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Barcelona | 21c | 579.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 554.96$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed FC Barcelona | 23c | 505.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…148bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 379.53$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 350.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 75c | 263$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 255.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FC Barcelona | 23c | 250.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 246.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 193.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…7fbebacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 175.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 174.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Barcelona | 17c | 167.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…c4edbacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 158.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Barcelona | 21c | 153.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 148.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 134.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Barcelona | 22c | 113.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Barcelona | 22c | 98.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 97.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 95.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FC Barcelona | 23c | 90.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 67.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 64.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 63.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 59.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 59.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 59.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 59.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…b3fabacked FC Barcelona | 25c | 58.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 74c | 48.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 47.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed FC Barcelona | 22c | 45.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 44.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 35.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 28.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…4c39backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 75c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 17.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…7d70backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.