TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Barcelonaof Club Atlético de Madrid, FC Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,290 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Club Atlético de Madrid3c29,997$870 inLost-$869.916048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid4c1,079$39 inLost-$38.623339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid3c524.22$13 inLost-$13.375525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9df…5c7abacked Club Atlético de Madrid4c417.79$17 inLost-$16.971136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid7c295.12$20 inLost-$20.4742438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Club Atlético de Madrid8c231.67$19 inLost-$18.941921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Club Atlético de Madrid12c167.13$19 inLost-$19.2523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid22c134.98$30 inLost-$29.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Atlético de Madrid11c122.61$13 inLost-$13.524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Club Atlético de Madrid22c84.58$18 inLost-$18.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid15c67.31$10 inLost-$10.1314220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.