Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb793bd7904ce47e7bacae7d386f2e09c66877279ce57650ddf6f6b9d611e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 66,873$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 5c | 8,832$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 8,166$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 4c | 4,279$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,040$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 4c | 2,617$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 2,614$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 4c | 2,440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 4c | 2,421$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 1,935$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…bfeebacked Yes | 4c | 1,763$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 5c | 1,711$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…67c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,364$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…1e67backed Yes | 4c | 1,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…ff10backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,243$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 4c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 994.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 925.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…a631backed Yes | 3c | 833$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 684$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 4c | 630.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…8a61backed Yes | 4c | 609.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 4c | 516.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…a107backed Yes | 4c | 500.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 4c | 500.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…def9backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…3888backed Yes | 4c | 472.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes | 4c | 465.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…2862backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 4c | 368.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…a741backed Yes | 4c | 357.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…9dc1backed Yes | 4c | 342.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Yes | 4c | 320$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 4c | 318.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 5c | 260.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…f21dbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…f811backed Yes | 4c | 223.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.