Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee449edfdb4fcf9d42a7c32ff117783b96bcef3eed2dd8d4f2f02f978293afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x878d…22dfbacked Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 17,729$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 9c | 7,407$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…e8aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 930.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 7c | 897.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…07a8backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 688$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Yes | 8c | 650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…b8e6backed Yes | 7c | 630.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…3474backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 533$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 430.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…7803backed Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 400.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 6c | 393.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Yes | 7c | 390.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f1…ae1abacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 7c | 371.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…979bbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 37.6%68 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 310$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…6d79backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…4a91backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…67c6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…b771backed Yes | 8c | 250.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…fcefbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…add3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…00fdbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…c77ebacked Yes | 7c | 217.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd2…230ebacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa0…c2c2backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 8c | 184.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…2e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 8.8%7 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…10babacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452b…358abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…dffabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…d335backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…fb87backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.