Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cfaa72f5b9d22a71553dc845752f5aeaa6ce1bb89664172222c8dc7b4fddc4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 10c | 9,246$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.39 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 2,516$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 1,970$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.44 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 10c | 999.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 12c | 718.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 33c | 662.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 10c | 561$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 382.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 360.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 12c | 340.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 315.44$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 310.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 17c | 305.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 22c | 287.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed No | 76c | 213.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 79c | 200.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 189.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 26c | 133.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 27c | 123.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 10c | 106.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…a81ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…9e5cbacked Yes | 28c | 95.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 33c | 81.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 29c | 73.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Yes | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f6aabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 63c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…312dbacked Yes | 33c | 36.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.