Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f69ce9270429ca631e9120f4fb74231cfc2cc359bcd5cc0f404625058c2cfdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,845$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 275.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 67c | 261$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 180.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 69c | 132.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 35c | 119.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 104.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 55c | 92.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 81.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 20c | 55.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 43.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 38c | 29.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked Yes | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 42c | 24.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.