TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c6,418$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c5,600$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.985536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c4,500$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4601850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No27c1,999$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c1,995$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.252,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No28c1,979$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes34c1,389$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8512166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes73c1,294$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.751872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No36c1,133$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5912247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No28c897.49$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.1713327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No59c777.27$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7342844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No26c677$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.656949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes74c608.11$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No36c580$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No75c578.76$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.448636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No64c542.63$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.920042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No61c467.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087a…a510backed Yes72c414.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes72c370.94$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c369.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.788545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes46c356.54$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1411644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes72c334.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.188743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No27c290.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5224557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.52437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No29c240$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.47533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes68c237.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6515151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No26c228$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes74c215.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes27c202.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.83821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No26c199.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9715846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes74c193.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes73c191.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e81…b001backed Yes72c191.78$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0860%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes74c170.27$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes32c156.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes72c147.65$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No71c145.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.071968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes72c143.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No28c138.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.157848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes31c127.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes30c116.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No29c110.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.342339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes72c107.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.612334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes73c105.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.043844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722425%6 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.294522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No69c83.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes74c70.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf914…4a78backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No28c62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.649561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0410544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes35c56.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.564854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…6f8cbacked Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes73c46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5837926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No29c40.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7933847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.814740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf60…dd8dbacked No28c35.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1714352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb7…0cd1backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416e…6f5dbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c99…2c2abacked Yes72c25.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6269…327cbacked Yes72c25.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Yes71c24.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…991bbacked Yes72c20.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4397…1901backed Yes72c20.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2705…3a60backed Yes73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes72c19.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650f…9a59backed Yes72c19.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes74c17.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134568.9%31 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…6c02backed Yes71c15.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…293ebacked No70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.