Champions League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ad43ab542bf163eaac8473a06d645d020998a16a5015385bca9fd92f3c0432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 20c | 100,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 80c | 59,833$47,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,966.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 20c | 8,548$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.6 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 4,121$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.48 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 3,842$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 19c | 1,225$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,149$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 22c | 994.83$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 871.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 807.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed Yes | 14c | 759.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 743.44$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 719.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…06f8backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 79c | 582.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 298$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…2d49backed Yes | 13c | 271.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 257.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb440…d279backed Yes | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 14c | 137.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 11c | 130.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 22c | 116.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…068dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 72.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…a5e6backed Yes | 22c | 67.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…d370backed Yes | 21c | 66.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…41efbacked Yes | 21c | 48.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…728cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.