Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0fee0191763cf31b951e3863c9f694c04e6964ece9ea7e3880cb3fed97d20e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 17c | 17,817$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.66 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 15,701$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.54 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 4,362$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.95 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 4,100$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 2,523$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Yes | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 17c | 2,100$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 15c | 1,882$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 5c | 1,690$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…b7febacked Yes | 18c | 1,518$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 3c | 895.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes | 18c | 837.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 16c | 650$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 18c | 545$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 6c | 427.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Yes | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…8a06backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 17c | 284.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…0a62backed Yes | 19c | 260.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 17c | 209$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 20c | 200.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 200.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 14c | 181.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 17c | 169.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 17c | 169.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…d370backed Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 131.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…1333backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.