La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12cea61bfcfce2e9fb4057d583025dadf4f282ab76933ee6b2f09a380f1e97b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb071…ecabbacked Yes | 43c | 6,906$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 52c | 5,634$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.56 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 69c | 2,931$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.28 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,819$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 57c | 2,777$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,691$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 2,326$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.05 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 23c | 1,803$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 1,545$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.44 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 55c | 1,447$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.54 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.32 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 54c | 1,221$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 1,023$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.58 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 48c | 796.25$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 31c | 716.13$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 686.51$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.56 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 57c | 636.78$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 20c | 511.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 20c | 502.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 499.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 476.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.88 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 423$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 388.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.89 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 31c | 351.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 31c | 318.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 14c | 315.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 295$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 71c | 272.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 40c | 209.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 64c | 173.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 31c | 143.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked Yes | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 122$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked No | 74c | 98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 31c | 97.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 32c | 93.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 37c | 66.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 71c | 50.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 49.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 44.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 71c | 42.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…4040backed No | 74c | 30.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…b520backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 57c | 28.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 53c | 25.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…96a6backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 70c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…8a20backed No | 71c | 16.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.