Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe99087fea65031d76f36143451d779f6c680a85108fabba1b9549835eb7fe0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,641$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 76c | 2,351$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.68 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 55c | 2,029$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.5 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 1,525$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.55 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Yes | 49c | 1,259$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 804$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 468$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 50c | 265.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 178.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 110.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 109.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 48c | 90.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 52c | 54.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 24c | 50.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 49.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…f5f5backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…ce79backed Yes | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 50c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 46c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.