TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes44c59,895$26,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,353.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c25,126$14,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,016.2521560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c24,026$13,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,562.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No56c5,208$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes43c4,363$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c2,993$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.811,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No57c2,511$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.9713050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes44c2,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…23c4backed Yes14c1,866$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf95…3a72backed Yes19c1,137$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.868041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c867.57$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8423153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No57c851.28$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No60c826.29$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2610752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes31c751.44$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae2d…d74dbacked Yes28c741.05$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x535b…ffd0backed Yes46c436.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes14c418.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes12c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes5c358.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.541811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes43c350$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes44c343.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes42c249.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.992055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae6…9582backed Yes46c246.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes42c237.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes43c232.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e46…6b55backed Yes44c225.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52cc…907cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c218$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c211.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes13c210.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f4…258dbacked Yes43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes43c209.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.611644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x408b…f0ebbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+140.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes13c158.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa269…ce6fbacked Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes42c133.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes18c118.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c104.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d6…9530backed Yes46c101.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes43c101.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…686cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f7…f6f2backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes26c99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.534930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No57c85.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.039355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0313655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes43c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c74.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes28c71.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No56c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.639954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.527945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.043828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes44c57.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569d…5db5backed Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…5473backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes45c53.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No55c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.597163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5911556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c52.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5920860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1643…2844backed Yes20c52.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95e9…30b1backed Yes44c50.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.284562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd136…9d35backed Yes43c46.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…d7c1backed Yes44c45.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.