Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730de4ca5c0c11ffc63e602a2b96f63b1733eb423b336e8e5786c71d748c7fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 44c | 7,645$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.65 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 39c | 2,058$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,898$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.3 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,557$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.07 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 871.86$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.45 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 60c | 804.02$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 29c | 611$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 36c | 348$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 336.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 301.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 69c | 240$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 28c | 217.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…23c4backed Yes | 50c | 137.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 72c | 136$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…b602backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 62c | 61.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…72f8backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 73c | 43.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 30.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.