Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101e58b8d2426342bcf25d6401ce41aefc7eb1010ebc43c344a2399162fc0207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 53c | 4,920$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.29 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 3,643$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.34 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,225$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 32c | 1,864$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.8 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 1,766$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,722$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 54c | 1,568$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 1,283$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.94 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 1,024$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.33 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 971$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 51c | 950.74$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 832.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 569.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 30c | 460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 458.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 337.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…d74dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 293$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 47c | 254.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 247.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed No | 72c | 237.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 181.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 165.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 54c | 165$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 151.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked No | 73c | 147.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 58c | 129.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed No | 73c | 128.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 50c | 116.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 53c | 114.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7c48backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…b793backed Yes | 57c | 77.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…0babbacked Yes | 33c | 61.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 35c | 61.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 52.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 44.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…ce23backed No | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…f994backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…76e4backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…8b84backed No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc672…9646backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.