La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f6b6f3b0bfdd37c3b69cc0644132a50ea18ae43fa41a617728321d87da6f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 5,321$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.52 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…a28fbacked No | 69c | 1,956$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,939$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…4430backed No | 69c | 1,667$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…3f91backed No | 69c | 1,522$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 16c | 1,396$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 1,389$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.59 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 3c | 1,255$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 33c | 909.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…28fbbacked No | 69c | 841.56$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 822.56$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 79c | 533.17$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 515$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 13c | 299.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 26c | 229.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 80.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 73.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 69c | 69.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…22bbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 78c | 37.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.