La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1374d4613cd2a4ff444dbd587df4950e6c393f13d86c2b1a750f5214fee6fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 60c | 20,442$12,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,265.42 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 39c | 12,990$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.72 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 61c | 11,398$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 10,789$6,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,437.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 27c | 2,941$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.21 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 2,900$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…e1ccbacked No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 11c | 1,491$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 1,071$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 76c | 973.04$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 40c | 849.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…1aaabacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed No | 38c | 600.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 490.82$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 430.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yes | 40c | 408.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 402$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…6661backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…60f7backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 46c | 280.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed No | 38c | 263.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 40c | 249.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 39c | 190.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 17c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…c74ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 134.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 129.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed No | 61c | 105.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…e803backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…fa9fbacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 53.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 61c | 39.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…99d6backed Yes | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…96bcbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…c3acbacked Yes | 78c | 31.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 50c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…f190backed No | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked No | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 26.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…9efbbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 59c | 18.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.