La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd363028400f027a10e55f43d422be15a8570781e5691e69e84978ca8400751ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 30c | 8,992$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 2,545$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.9 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 4c | 2,511$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 70c | 2,391$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.3 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 2,287$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 70c | 2,195$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.48 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked No | 71c | 1,446$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Yes | 29c | 1,444$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 7c | 1,304$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 30c | 1,289$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 1,217$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 29c | 999.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 946.34$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 921.61$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 30c | 606.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 525.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 29c | 400.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 22c | 394$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 30c | 340.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…ae50backed Yes | 29c | 261.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 16c | 250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 30c | 166.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 12c | 148$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 29c | 140.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 72c | 133.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…2516backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…f8a4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 30c | 98.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 72c | 98.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…b83fbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…6d71backed Yes | 29c | 71.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 30c | 60.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…51c0backed Yes | 29c | 56.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 21c | 52.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…7708backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…0d96backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 47.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?No won
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.