TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over50c81,920$40,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,334.0467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c66,221$33,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,233.456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c9,980$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.82,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c6,231$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.5793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c5,782$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.071,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under51c5,098$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6008543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c4,400$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f96…3419backed Over48c4,313$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed1c…f309backed Over48c4,141$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec55…da41backed Over48c3,894$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69c…daa6backed Over48c3,662$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5103…4757backed Over48c3,265$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ba…0b1fbacked Over48c3,030$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe407…21d8backed Over48c3,019$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ec…5914backed Over48c2,853$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8108…63b9backed Under52c2,348$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…53d9backed Under52c2,245$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1678…c5bdbacked Under52c2,155$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Under51c2,152$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Over49c2,152$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Under51c2,091$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Over49c2,091$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6240…c9bebacked Under52c2,053$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4f…ee92backed Under52c2,020$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5f…2fc3backed Under52c1,878$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec84…3d08backed Under52c1,727$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…4caabacked Under52c1,663$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f1…8516backed Under52c1,474$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c1,469$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.31,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…4713backed Under52c1,414$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd739…738dbacked Under52c1,355$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c1,340$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.6458352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3533…d028backed Under52c1,299$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…9f2bbacked Under52c1,277$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663a…dd76backed Under52c1,212$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…accbbacked Under52c1,147$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef5…316cbacked Under52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…dce3backed Under52c1,055$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…e410backed Under52c772$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Over51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2720951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under51c647.06$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over52c633$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c608$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c493.18$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.251,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c348$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5212548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c340.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8712943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under41c190.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7416254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c180.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c173$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0615257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c144$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked Under21c139.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5159950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0410864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c93.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6678651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.372,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over70c85.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7321040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.928446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c76.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Over48c53.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Under51c52.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.556847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511248.2%54 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over69c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.198368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under31c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.197436.5%27 W · 47 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over49c48.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.591,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over79c47.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c40.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0545151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3134…8b95backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25d…95eebacked Under53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c22.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2525435.4%90 W · 164 L-22.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under51c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8112250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…0322backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…4b16backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under53c19.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910450%52 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.