TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,252,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,573,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1222…2aa7backed Flyers55c339,207$186,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,417.114654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Rangers45c300,000$135,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers54c54,138$28,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,997.5210349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers54c41,652$22,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,473.151,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rangers47c33,544$15,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,778.149548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers45c23,255$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,756.011,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Flyers56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.9925449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Rangers43c17,611$7,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,038.219051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Rangers46c16,478$7,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,848.263435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Rangers44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.648247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rangers46c10,555$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.6228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rangers46c9,625$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed Flyers53c9,277$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Rangers78c8,848$6,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.141376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rangers45c8,534$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,687.962,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Flyers57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers47c7,000$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,73014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rangers46c6,961$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.1561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers42c6,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7701,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Flyers54c5,696$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.7124654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Rangers47c4,232$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.752458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers45c4,225$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.61,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rangers46c4,194$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.9493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Flyers54c4,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1403953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Flyers53c3,250$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.2726955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers54c3,125$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.082,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers57c2,593$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.4731550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Flyers55c2,250$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.513553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Flyers2c2,224$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Rangers45c2,217$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.868368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers30c2,161$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flyers54c2,053$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.4114848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Rangers46c2,000$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.9910848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers57c1,974$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.3589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flyers11c1,962$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.757354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Flyers38c1,953$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers43c1,915$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.633243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers28c1,729$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers46c1,701$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.5479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Rangers45c1,700$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9354346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Rangers46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.435736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers80c1,537$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf098…de98backed Flyers58c1,521$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers45c1,500$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…3edabacked Rangers43c1,499$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.43875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a0…9f35backed Flyers57c1,499$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…fc3ebacked Flyers57c1,498$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22e1…1230backed Flyers57c1,498$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a34…739fbacked Flyers57c1,498$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1935…28aebacked Rangers43c1,498$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…b652backed Rangers43c1,498$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…02d3backed Rangers43c1,498$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…69f5backed Flyers57c1,496$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4c…baadbacked Rangers43c1,496$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.721250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6c…f855backed Rangers43c1,496$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c6…c496backed Flyers57c1,496$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.721435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe15d…3044backed Rangers43c1,493$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…77b1backed Flyers57c1,493$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x064d…e9f9backed Flyers57c1,488$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6caf…a117backed Rangers43c1,488$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…9682backed Flyers57c1,485$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x045b…595fbacked Flyers57c1,485$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…c458backed Rangers43c1,485$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…940ebacked Rangers43c1,485$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.451283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3216…99bcbacked Flyers57c1,483$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf481…c28bbacked Rangers43c1,483$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.311070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb1…38f0backed Flyers57c1,482$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…adf5backed Rangers43c1,482$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab05…7736backed Flyers57c1,481$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d5…3b55backed Rangers43c1,481$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb518…1930backed Flyers57c1,480$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c6…65b6backed Rangers43c1,479$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f3…6293backed Flyers57c1,479$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5776…9259backed Flyers57c1,477$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.89875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f4…f0e5backed Rangers43c1,477$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe064…6affbacked Flyers57c1,470$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225e…287abacked Rangers43c1,470$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfa…e08ebacked Rangers43c1,465$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ee…8accbacked Flyers57c1,465$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.051060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc98…9f93backed Flyers57c1,458$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…046fbacked Rangers43c1,458$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c7…1467backed Rangers43c1,455$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04c…06c3backed Flyers57c1,455$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a7…01d0backed Flyers57c1,453$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b6…e8b4backed Rangers43c1,453$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5504…e8a5backed Rangers43c1,450$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf856…3477backed Flyers57c1,450$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6838…0777backed Rangers43c1,439$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.23977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec10…818fbacked Flyers57c1,439$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3647…4f20backed Flyers57c1,437$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers19c1,437$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.21,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd861…d7ffbacked Flyers57c1,436$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebfa…e072backed Rangers43c1,436$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…fa56backed Rangers43c1,436$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.521560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5435…e8e4backed Flyers57c1,436$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89e…1fbebacked Rangers43c1,435$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf435…f246backed Flyers57c1,435$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bf…cbe7backed Flyers57c1,434$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.