TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf17b…d0a7backed Under41c16,100$6,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,601633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc2b…0a52backed Over59c8,400$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4b…7b18backed Over59c7,700$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ef5…316cbacked Under41c7,404$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd739…738dbacked Under41c6,681$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f1…8516backed Under41c6,492$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…dce3backed Under41c6,288$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3533…d028backed Under41c6,282$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…accbbacked Under41c6,225$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663a…dd76backed Under41c6,223$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…4713backed Under41c6,016$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecb…fdf0backed Over59c4,523$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f75…e9f7backed Over59c4,226$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under42c3,950$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.3364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c3,413$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.731,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8108…63b9backed Over59c3,303$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b25…b788backed Over59c3,299$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…5914backed Over59c3,223$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec84…3d08backed Over59c3,202$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5f…2fc3backed Over59c3,144$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec55…da41backed Over59c3,131$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b4f…ee92backed Over59c3,125$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1c…f309backed Over59c3,125$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5103…4757backed Over59c3,123$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d6…0c75backed Over59c3,101$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…9f2bbacked Over59c3,089$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ba…0b1fbacked Over59c3,077$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1678…c5bdbacked Over59c3,065$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe407…21d8backed Over59c3,022$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6240…c9bebacked Over59c2,989$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69c…daa6backed Over59c2,989$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d1…53d9backed Over59c2,988$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304d…bf03backed Under41c2,688$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eee…58f4backed Under41c2,347$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c62…64d0backed Under41c2,165$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689e…3a7ebacked Under41c2,124$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f96…3419backed Over59c2,012$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a80…4caabacked Over59c1,878$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Over61c1,819$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.551376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under40c1,723$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe155…955bbacked Over59c1,477$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6b…06cabacked Over59c1,325$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002c…7291backed Under41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…31a9backed Under41c1,260$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4f…2e2bbacked Under41c1,258$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce4…7ce7backed Over59c1,253$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d93…e177backed Over59c1,235$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0d…6d51backed Under41c1,215$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6d…eacabacked Under41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…4f72backed Under41c1,173$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…e410backed Over59c1,126$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…3c06backed Over59c1,125$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79d…5d7abacked Under41c1,114$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…864fbacked Over59c1,084$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…3f06backed Under41c1,058$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2871…55e4backed Under41c1,039$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over61c1,001$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.3438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x061d…d39cbacked Under41c967$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5366…1671backed Over59c936$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa4…c05fbacked Under41c927$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f9a…aea3backed Under41c905$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf045…d17bbacked Over59c889$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a52…cb11backed Under41c884$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…96b5backed Under41c844$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea11…551abacked Under41c773.14$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Over59c773.14$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7425…c079backed Under41c763.39$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.991675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Over59c763.39$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Over60c753.29$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.322564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Over60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.675050%25 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4874…7123backed Under41c661.02$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.021216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Over59c661.02$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.021376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under40c443.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5949546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under39c292.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1412943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over60c259.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9811248.2%54 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over60c248.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.339547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over60c222.77$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.111,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…b7ddbacked Over61c110.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under39c101.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.061,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3986852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over60c97.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Over62c83.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.574156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c80.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.781,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over59c76.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.682,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Under43c50.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under38c41.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Under41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.392,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefa…e9e3backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over60c18.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.469653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.