Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18804e09323e469c763c97ff86686174db12836fbedd8456fdc95955a00b09a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 27,516$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.31 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 21c | 13,476$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,646.19 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 8,295$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.23 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 79c | 6,861$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.7 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 80c | 6,671$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.63 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 24c | 6,014$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 5,607$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.83 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 21c | 4,905$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.65 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 12c | 4,763$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.58 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 3,600$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 3,453$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.45 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 3,137$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.21 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 2,902$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.71 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…cbf9backed Yes | 79c | 2,879$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 79c | 2,216$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.71 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,091$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.91 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 14c | 2,003$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.44 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 78c | 1,891$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.2 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,875$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,792$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.22 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 78c | 1,684$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.44 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 1,661$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 4c | 1,439$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,375$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 78c | 1,365$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.52 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 10c | 1,347$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 20c | 1,299$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.94 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 18c | 1,244$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 15c | 1,210$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 26c | 1,073$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 35c | 1,012$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 999.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 984$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.96 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 942$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 13c | 930.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 14c | 843$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 699.99$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…3514backed Yes | 24c | 641.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 20c | 634.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.78 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 21c | 598.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.37 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 12c | 536.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 20c | 530$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 73c | 526.81$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 504$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.51 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 500$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.41 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 21c | 491.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…3e28backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 21c | 465.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 37c | 405.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 35c | 393.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 20c | 391.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 23c | 386.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 28c | 384.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 360.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 349$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 18c | 348.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Yes | 9c | 344.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 341$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…e40fbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 331.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 15c | 306.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 290$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…6ff7backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 281.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…6410backed Yes | 21c | 271.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…4fa0backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 21c | 250.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes | 42c | 250$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 21c | 234.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 230$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 18c | 218.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 25c | 214.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 23c | 209$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…fbe4backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 22c | 199.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…bdd4backed Yes | 20c | 196.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 21c | 186.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0610backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 20c | 178.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked Yes | 23c | 177$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.