Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique vs. Cameroon end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb063bf397c0562e7ae248e4e8cc8ebfd2ecdf7e01ad855d60aa3afef7d6941f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,841$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,326$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.88 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,665$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 25c | 1,451$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 17c | 1,140$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 674.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 674.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 636.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 606.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 555.43$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 24c | 334.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 4c | 272.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…caabbacked Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 262$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 24c | 188.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 23c | 148.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 76c | 145.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 129.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 31c | 128.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…49e9backed Yes | 26c | 68.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…eda0backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…0f48backed Yes | 31c | 51.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 43.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 39.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 26c | 38.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 78c | 38.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…9b11backed Yes | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 67c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 78c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique vs. Cameroon end in a draw?this page
- Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.