Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7170a15c256014d18dea14cd44ba71d44d8043a48ae61a934d24ef87e1d1ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 22,825$11,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,640.7 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 22,418$11,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,835.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 10,216$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720.96 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 29c | 2,870$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,028$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 1,499$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 1,434$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 49c | 1,410$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.3 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed No | 66c | 1,288$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 1,100$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 49c | 1,023$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.68 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,004$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 845$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 70c | 671.4$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 49c | 438.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 36c | 422.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 395$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked No | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 8c | 283.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 56c | 275$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 66c | 233$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 44c | 225$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 30c | 222.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 145.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Yes | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…7bb6backed No | 50c | 109.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 103.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 45c | 66.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…a66abacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…5c43backed No | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 45c | 26.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 46c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 55c | 21.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d8…8c94backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.