Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc1b4fde1dc8ab5ceb270ddbba44b7450a6d2bce27b22f9ee5d49d04d0ac7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 73c | 3,771$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.14 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,897$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.87 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 1,704$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,659$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,615$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 1,527$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked No | 75c | 1,230$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 23c | 1,001$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 851.32$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 27c | 676.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 23c | 639.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 407.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 400.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 338.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 298.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 16c | 255.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…4186backed Yes | 24c | 207.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 24c | 112.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 21c | 107.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 74c | 106.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 21c | 59.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 59.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 80c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 77c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.