Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe8c54c63ead268737cb63f94e80f0f7b06d23c2187668a2c6cf8e36cd58e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,038$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,128$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 61c | 2,158$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,133$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.33 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 982.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 34c | 535.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 30c | 493.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 64c | 462.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Yes | 47c | 427.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 80c | 377.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…2665backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 353.64$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 338$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 336.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 25c | 258.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 75c | 223.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 52c | 182.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 27c | 178.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 83.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…aa7ebacked No | 39c | 67.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 34c | 44.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 40.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked No | 55c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 23.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…5928backed Yes | 73c | 23.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.