Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab3dae85add3355d61aa992e94abda0253b50b2c0e1461481c33836b351cce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 12,487$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,207.98 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 66c | 6,408$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.08 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 58c | 3,867$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 64c | 2,919$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.92 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,914$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.33 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,299$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.73 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,909$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.72 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 65c | 1,637$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 15c | 1,343$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 37c | 706.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 636.05$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 50c | 321.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 62c | 270$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 231.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 26c | 215.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 39c | 202.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 59c | 163.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 18c | 121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Yes | 71c | 115.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 17c | 113.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 18c | 109$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 72c | 86.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 60c | 75.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed No | 36c | 67.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 65c | 65.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 24c | 47.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 46.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 38c | 43.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…0dd9backed Yes | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 28.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.