NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b682404d9a324e94c9d3cccf4869e12331553fd638835f5c1656115dbb670e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Trail Blazers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $770,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 191,738$21,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,201.19 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 83,026$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796.09 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 34,812$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 31,128$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 20,833$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 13,603$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.24 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 12,366$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 7,323$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 7,310$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 6,050$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 5,733$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Trail Blazers | 5c | 4,827$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 4,329$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 4,003$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…e141backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 3,733$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…0fc0backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,898$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 2,198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,075$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 2,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…7cf0backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,820$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…61b6backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 1,801$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…94acbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 1,700$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…a1cfbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 1,564$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 1,446$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,397$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…db73backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…e279backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,146$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 1,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,045$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…9121backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…9905backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 999.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 924.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…2d20backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 889.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 871.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…d32cbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 804.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 785.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 699.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd579…82c7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 658.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 656.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 655.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 616.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf846…cb9fbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 566.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce6…7dc7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 541.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 191 | 30.9%59 W · 132 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…0abbbacked Trail Blazers | 5c | 499.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 495.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 429.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 407.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 404.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 244 | 29.1%71 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 399.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…f533backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 322$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…f592backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 285.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 270.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 270.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.