NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9ffcd5bf8de3e92a147f129674a777a38886f7dd72740d5934f09815fae946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 3,440$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,595$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 1,435$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.64 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 963$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 675.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 648.74$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 455$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 340.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 52c | 166.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 160.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 131.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 108.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 53c | 80.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 63.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 51c | 62.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.