Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a4da1e4f6451b8ec50444e9b9c299bd76e989cd159b213fb580a2c451d7acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 8,303$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 4,529$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 2,820$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.57 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 1,553$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,360$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 37c | 1,079$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.11 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 28c | 1,063$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 37c | 1,027$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.03 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.99 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 940.66$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.33 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 748.91$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 735.99$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 599.42$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 33c | 590.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 21c | 443.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 13c | 438.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…06cfbacked Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 24c | 420.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 356.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 277.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 23c | 274.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 263.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 77c | 203.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 7c | 176.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 59c | 142.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…39dabacked Yes | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 30c | 82.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 79.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 24c | 79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 24c | 77.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 27c | 63.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 45c | 62.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…5928backed Yes | 71c | 58.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 35c | 58.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 27c | 55.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Yes | 31c | 48.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 72c | 38.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ffa1backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 77c | 28.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 43c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…7e4dbacked No | 60c | 23.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 67c | 21.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.