Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131a0443f7b3b6369886ed2cb48c511eb0ff9ef62abe10835811d1d177848c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 18,058$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.43 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 12,075$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.19 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 18c | 5,419$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 3,612$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 57c | 3,410$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 18c | 2,698$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 50c | 2,149$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 19c | 2,020$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 1c | 1,555$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 17c | 1,520$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,495$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 1,444$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 12c | 1,285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,063$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 885.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 16c | 877$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 8c | 824.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 17c | 800.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 731$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 586.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 576.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…856fbacked Yes | 21c | 519.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 51c | 478.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 51c | 460.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 44c | 371.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 370.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 54c | 367.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yes | 53c | 352.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 16c | 349.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 38c | 298.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 285.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 278.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 18c | 181.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 54c | 169.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 23c | 159.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 53c | 150.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 76c | 143.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes | 55c | 119.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 16c | 118.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 51c | 105.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…f119backed Yes | 11c | 98.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…4fefbacked Yes | 51c | 84.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 19c | 79.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 45c | 78.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 70.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…998abacked Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 51c | 61.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed No | 49c | 54.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…bf31backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…0622backed Yes | 53c | 25.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 78c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…f919backed Yes | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…756bbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.