Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee7997a03ef7b8ad2934bb69c67adeecb4825f2109b0e9776095b7378528b502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 7,668$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 4,370$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 2,469$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.93 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 31c | 2,200$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 31c | 2,106$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 31c | 1,874$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 29c | 1,800$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 1,721$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.43 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,668$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 1,279$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.51 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked No | 71c | 1,050$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 31c | 964.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 32c | 940$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.2 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 837.63$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.59 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 400.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 383$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 68c | 365.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 346.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 31c | 205$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 32c | 204.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 61c | 179.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 174.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 21c | 102.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 37.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 33c | 36.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7c45backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 71c | 19.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.