Premier League · resolved market
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11cf1ffe887fae049ebcf6a7e7e1cb4c84c8b052e27a5b30cd42e382bf1e51fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 10,725$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.69 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 61c | 9,154$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.06 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 8,953$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 67c | 4,154$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.78 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 2,722$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.18 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 60c | 1,789$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.6 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,726$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.47 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 1,580$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.41 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 986.06$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 749.7$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 664.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.13 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 202.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 31c | 175.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 77c | 124.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 41c | 121.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 24c | 83.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 60.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 57.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 41c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 62c | 22.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.