Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f32ac35a71c9d96201bff97744c13b404aa09b34d300677f8dd01f40cf59317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 3,743$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,129$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 22c | 2,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 2,174$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.31 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 78c | 1,773$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.93 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 938.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 799.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 674.5$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 515.69$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 429$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 362$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 22c | 354.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 21c | 335.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 7c | 187$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 9c | 168.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 152.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 120.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 95.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 89.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 23c | 86.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 59.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 79c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.