Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d420df41d4bc782143e9d4bdcdf98939fca54ae7e93e5e6a482247d78acf350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 1c | 45,376$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.11 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 47c | 11,570$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.89 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 43c | 3,520$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.6 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 80c | 3,082$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 41c | 2,424$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 2,316$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,367$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 1,238$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 69c | 1,230$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 1,179$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 3c | 1,129$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 5c | 999.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 968$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 528.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 44c | 521.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 50c | 399.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 64c | 319.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 275$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 47c | 210.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 56c | 206.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 205.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 57c | 174.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 20c | 162.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 52c | 88.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 85.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…e421backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 54.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 78c | 50.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 54c | 46.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…6c37backed No | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…4e17backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked No | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…4e2fbacked No | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 46c | 27.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 60c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 46c | 22.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.