Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a36866829aa1240410059802fb8d337184d403b8644e59fb490065759be261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,349$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,230$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,195$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 689.56$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 636.06$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 76c | 460$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 25c | 398.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 169.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 123.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 25c | 77.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 77c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.