Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092af921b2030d267d65d3e80724b5b0358cefc19dea6c4ee4df46efb276163c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 18c | 2,040$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 15c | 1,327$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 927$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 17c | 599.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 511.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 273$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 266.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 21c | 257$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 219.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 13c | 206$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…baa0backed Yes | 15c | 190$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 13c | 163.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 13c | 129$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 11c | 125.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 13c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.